Mortgage rates slipped this week, according to Bankrate’s latest lender survey. Home prices reached a record in late spring, but inflation on the whole has slowed, and the Federal Reserve at its latest meeting signaled just one rate cut before end of year.

Current mortgage rates

Loan type Current 4 weeks ago One year ago 52-week average 52-week low
30-year 7.02% 7.09% 6.84% 7.22% 6.84%
15-year 6.39% 6.46% 6.24% 6.56% 6.13%
30-year jumbo 7.06% 7.19% 6.66% 7.16% 6.66%

The 30-year fixed mortgages in this week’s survey had an average total of 0.28 discount and origination points. Discount points are a way for you to reduce your mortgage rate, while origination points are fees a lender charges to create, review and process your loan.

Experts tell us: Will mortgage rates go down in July?

Monthly mortgage payment at today’s rates

The national median family income for 2024 is $97,800, according to the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and the median price of an existing home sold in May 2024 was $419,300, a record, according to the National Association of Realtors. Based on a 3 percent down payment and a 7.02 percent mortgage rate, the monthly payment of $2,711 amounts to 33 percent of the typical family’s monthly income.

Will mortgage rates go down?

In the simplest sense, the economy drives whether mortgage rates go up or down. Thirty-year mortgage rates tend to fall in recessions — but not always — and today the economy is anything but. The jobs market has been strong, and inflation, while lower compared to a few months ago, is still above the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target.

Learn more: How are mortgage rates set?

“The fact that the Fed scaled back the number of rate cuts from three to one is going to disappoint those who were hoping for a summer rate drop,” says Lisa Sturtevant, chief economist at Bright MLS, a large listing service in the Mid-Atlantic region. “Mortgage rates, which have remained higher for longer, will likely remain in the high 6s until later this year.”

To be clear, mortgage rates are not set directly by the Fed, but by investor appetite, particularly for 10-year Treasury bonds, the leading indicator for fixed mortgage prices. That can lead to intense rate swings — they soar on news of Fed hikes, then plummet in anticipation of a cut. Given the Fed doesn’t expect to cut rates as much this year as it initially predicted, mortgage rates might not go down any time soon.

  • The Bankrate.com national survey of large lenders is conducted weekly. To conduct the National Average survey, Bankrate obtains rate information from the 10 largest banks and thrifts in 10 large U.S. markets. In the Bankrate.com national survey, our Market Analysis team gathers rates and/or yields on banking deposits, loans and mortgages. We’ve conducted this survey in the same manner for more than 30 years, and because it’s consistently done the way it is, it gives an accurate national apples-to-apples comparison. Our rates differ from other national surveys, in particular Freddie Mac’s weekly published rates. Each week Freddie Mac surveys lenders on the rates and points based on first-lien prime conventional conforming home purchase mortgages with a loan-to-value of 80 percent. “Lenders surveyed each week are a mix of lender types — thrifts, credit unions, commercial banks and mortgage lending companies — is roughly proportional to the level of mortgage business that each type commands nationwide,” according to Freddie Mac.